Planning tool

China-to-US landed cost, LCL/FCL crossover and inspection calculator

Estimate what an order from China costs per unit at a US warehouse: FOB value, ocean freight, duty and CBP fees. Then see where LCL stops being cheaper than a full container, how many pieces an inspection has to sample, and how much safety stock a late factory costs you.

Planning estimates only. Not a customs ruling, freight quotation or inspection result. The numbers you type stay in your browser.

How the calculator works

Enter the order once: FOB value, quantity, volume, duty rate, number of suppliers and US coast. The four modules below read the same inputs, so a change in one place moves every result. Each module states its method and its source, and the assumptions you can replace with your own quotes are marked. The full method, sources and limits are at the end of the page.

1. Landed cost and fees

Adds duty, the CBP Merchandise Processing Fee and the Harbor Maintenance Fee to your FOB value and freight, per order and per unit, and compares a percentage-fee sourcing agent with a flat monthly membership.

2. LCL or full container

Prices the same cargo as separate LCL shipments per supplier, one consolidated LCL shipment, a 20GP and a 40HQ container, and shows the volume at which a full container becomes cheaper.

3. Inspection sampling

Compares a fixed single-sample plan with Wald's sequential test (SPRT), which can stop early, and weighs the expected value of inspecting against the cost of an on-site inspection.

4. Safety stock

Sizes a buffer for late deliveries with Scarf's distribution-free rule, next to the usual normal-curve buffer, and shows the working capital it ties up.

Run the numbers for your order

Start from a scenario or type your own order. Every figure updates as you change an input. Nothing you enter is sent to ChinaPayCheck.

Load a scenario:
Estimated US landed cost—
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Flat fee vs percentage fee—
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Freight mode—
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Inspection and safety stock—
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Module 01 · Customs and fee ledger

Estimated US landed cost and sourcing fee comparison

Adds duty and the two CBP fees to your FOB value and to the freight mode selected in Module 02. Fee rates are the CBP fiscal year 2027 rates in effect from October 1, 2026: Merchandise Processing Fee 0.3464% of entered value, minimum USD 34.58 and maximum USD 670.86 per formal entry, USD 2.77 per automated informal entry, and Harbor Maintenance Fee 0.125% on ocean cargo.

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Cost componentBasisTotal (USD)Per unit
Goods (FOB China)———
Ocean freight, CFS and US clearance———
US import duty (MFN + Section 301)———
CBP Merchandise Processing Fee (MPF)———
Harbor Maintenance Fee (HMF)0.125% of cargo value, ocean shipments——
Estimated landed cost at US warehouse———

Sourcing fee modelMembership for small importers

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Planning assumption: percentage-fee agents are modelled at 5% to 10% of order value with a USD 100 minimum. Enter the rate you were quoted.

ChinaPayCheck monthly plan Cancel any time
Months of membership for this order —

Percentage fee vs flat membership—

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A flat monthly membership does not grow with the order value.
Module 02 · Freight and consolidation

Multi-supplier LCL vs 20GP and 40HQ crossover

Separate LCL shipments from several factories each pay destination CFS, customs entry and local delivery minimums. Consolidating in China pays them once, and a full container replaces per-CBM charges with a flat box rate. Select a mode to apply it to the landed cost in Module 01. Lane rates are illustrative planning rates, not live quotations.

Unbundled multi-supplier LCL China-consolidated LCL 20GP FCL (~28 CBM) 40HQ FCL (~68 CBM)

Vertical axis: freight cost in USD. Horizontal axis: shipment volume in CBM.

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Module 03 · Statistical quality control

Wald sequential sampling (SPRT) and the value of an inspection

Compares a fixed single-sample plan (n = 52, Ac = 2) with Wald's sequential probability ratio test, which can clear a lot after n = 24 pieces with no defects at the same two risk points. It then weighs the expected value of sample information (EVSI) against the cost of a third-party on-site inspection.

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Sampling and risk inputsα = 0.05 · β = 0.10

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Returns, unsellable stock
Third-party inspection rate per man-day —

Planning assumptions for a third-party pre-shipment inspection. Use the rate you were quoted.

False-alarm delay

What a false alarm costs you: storage, rebooking and delay when a good lot is held. It lowers the value of inspecting. Leave 0 if unknown.

Wald limit lines and sample check—

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Module 04 · Inventory and lead-time capital

Scarf distribution-free safety stock

Factory lead times rarely follow a clean bell curve. Scarf's rule sizes the buffer against the worst-case distribution with the same mean and variance (Scarf, 1958; Gallego and Moon, 1993) and prices the working capital it ties up.

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Lead-time and margin inputs

Delay volatility
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/d
Underage cost
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Buffer and working capital

Lead-time demand: mean (μ_LTD) and standard deviation (σ_LTD)—
Scarf safety buffer—
Normal-curve safety buffer (z × σ_LTD)—
Worst-case expected mismatch cost (√(bh) × σ_LTD)—
Working capital tied up in the Scarf buffer—
Formula: Q_S = μ + (σ_LTD / 2) × (√(b/h) − √(h/b)).
Before you wire a deposit

Check one supplier and one proforma invoice first (Free Triage, USD 0)

A landed-cost estimate only holds if the PI issuer, the Chinese registry record and the bank beneficiary line up. Share the summary below with your finance team, or send one supplier payment instruction to our desk for a fit check before you send funds.

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Method, sources and limits

Duty and CBP fees

Duty is the combined rate you enter (the MFN rate plus any Section 301 rate) applied to the FOB transaction value (19 CFR 152.103). The Merchandise Processing Fee is 0.3464% of the entered value, with a minimum of USD 34.58 and a maximum of USD 670.86 per formal entry. An entry valued below USD 2,500 is modelled as an informal entry at USD 2.77, the fee for an informal entry or release that is automated and not prepared by CBP personnel (a manual informal entry is USD 8.30, or USD 12.45 when CBP personnel prepare it). The Harbor Maintenance Fee is 0.125% of the cargo value for ocean shipments. Source: U.S. Customs and Border Protection, “Customs User Fees To Be Adjusted for Inflation in Fiscal Year 2027”, CBP Dec. 26-14, 91 FR 48398 (FR Doc. 2026-15530), published July 31, 2026 and effective October 1, 2026 (official PDF). When several suppliers ship separately, each shipment is its own entry and pays its own fee.

Informal entry and Section 301 goods. Under 19 CFR 143.21(a), informal entry covers shipments valued at USD 2,500 or less, except articles valued above USD 250 that are classified in Chapter 99, Subchapters III and IV of the HTSUS. The Section 301 duties on Chinese goods are Chapter 99, Subchapter III headings. The calculator applies the USD 2,500 threshold only. If your goods carry a Section 301 rate and a shipment is valued above USD 250 and below USD 2,500, plan for a formal entry: the fee is then the USD 34.58 minimum instead of USD 2.77, which is USD 31.81 more per entry.

Freight and consolidation

LCL is billed per W/M (the larger of the volume in CBM and the weight in tonnes) with a minimum per shipment, plus origin and destination CFS charges, one customs entry and one local delivery per shipment. A 20GP is modelled at about 28 CBM or 21,500 kg and a 40HQ at about 68 CBM or 26,500 kg. The lane rates for the West Coast (Los Angeles and Long Beach) and the East Coast (New York and Savannah) are illustrative planning assumptions, not quotations: replace the result with your forwarder's quote before you decide.

Inspection sampling

The sequential plan is Wald's sequential probability ratio test with a producer's risk of 0.05 and a consumer's risk of 0.10 (Wald, A., 1945, “Sequential tests of statistical hypotheses”, Annals of Mathematical Statistics 16(2)). The default limits, 1% acceptable and 10% rejectable, reproduce the worked example in the NIST/SEMATECH e-Handbook of Statistical Methods, section 6.2.6: accept on or below x = −0.939 + 0.04n, reject on or above x = 1.205 + 0.04n, so the earliest acceptance is at 24 pieces with no defects. The single-sample sizes shown for comparison are the smallest fixed plans that meet the same two risk points under the binomial model. The value of inspecting is the loss avoided when a bad lot is caught, weighted by your prior, minus the cost of a false alarm; the inspection day rates are planning assumptions.

Safety stock

The buffer uses Scarf's distribution-free rule (Scarf, H., 1958, “A min-max solution of an inventory problem”, in Studies in the Mathematical Theory of Inventory and Production; Gallego, G. and Moon, I., 1993, “The distribution free newsboy problem: review and extensions”, Journal of the Operational Research Society 44(8)). Lead time is the lane transit time plus 12 production days, and daily demand is assumed to vary by 22% of its mean. The normal-curve buffer is shown next to it for comparison.

Sourcing fee comparison

Percentage-fee agents are modelled at 5% to 10% of the order value with a USD 100 minimum. That range is a planning assumption, so enter the rate you were quoted. The membership figures are the ChinaPayCheck plans on the pricing page. Product costs, freight, third-party inspection or laboratory fees and supplier payments are separate from the membership, and ChinaPayCheck does not hold money for goods.

What this tool is not

The calculator is a planning aid. It is not a customs ruling, a freight quotation, an inspection result or advice on a specific supplier, and it does not check who you are paying.

ChinaPayCheck is designed for international buyers who need a practical second look before sending money to a Chinese supplier. The review is buyer-side: no payments from suppliers, no paid supplier listings, no supplier promotion and no fake trust badges.

ChinaPayCheck is not a law firm, escrow service, insurer, payment recovery service, credit bureau, government registry or statutory inspection and certification body. Layer 1 reviews and Layer 2 desk work are practical buyer-side execution with photo evidence; they do not guarantee shipment, product quality, refund recovery, legal outcome or supplier behavior after payment.

ChinaPayCheck does not guarantee supplier safety, account ownership, shipment, quality, recovery, or legal outcomes. Read the full methodology and limits.

Work with a China sourcing agent

ChinaPayCheck is a China sourcing agent for overseas buyers, sold as a monthly membership: the ChinaPayCheck workspace app plus sourcing help from our China desk. We find and verify suppliers, check them before you pay, and follow production, quality control and shipping.

Membership: Free USD 0, Starter USD 20 a month, Growth USD 100 a month, Pro USD 200 a month. Cancel any time; a paid plan runs to the end of the period you paid for.